CJ Cup at Shadow Creek Betting Preview

The CJ Cup is not going to be featured at South Korea’s Jeju Island this year. Instead, it will be held at Shadow Creek in Las Vegas. 

The par-72, 7,527-yard course has a lot of rolling hills and tight collars for golfers that need to focus on their approach. Out of the field of 77 golfers, this will be a star-studded event, so you can expect some great golf here. 

  • Date: October 15-18
  • Purse: $9.75 Million, Winner Gets $1.75 Million
  • Watch: Golf Channel and NBC 

Betting Overview

As with any golfing event, there are factors that are going to play into each individual performance. Strokes gained is one key factor to look at. 

Let us look at the top five players who, over their last 24 rounds, had the best with strokes gained approach: 

  • Dustin Johnson 
  • Russell Henley
  • Justin Thomas
  • Brandan Steele
  • Matthew Wolff

Now we can take this a step further and look at the top five players in total strokes gained over the same time period of their most recent 24 rounds:

  • Dustin Johnson
  • Xander Schauffele
  • Scottie Scheffler
  • Matthew Wolff 
  • Harris English

Dunkel Index For This Event 

According to the Dunkel Index for the best chance at winning this event, the following 10 golfers have the best shot at winning. 

  • Dustin Johnson 3.408  
  • Jon Rahm 1.943
  • Matthew Wolff 0.510
  • Justin Thomas -0.262
  • Tony Finau -1.641
  • Sungjae Im -1.683
  • Rory McIlroy -1.695  
  • Joaquin Niemann -1.868  
  • Gary Woodland -2.064  
  • Xander Schauffele -2.719

Potential Winning Picks

Looking at the list above, we have seen a correlation of golfers with consistency on their side when it comes to approach and strokes gained. Several golfers come to mind that could win this event. 

Thomas has won this event two times and is currently the defending champion. As the third-ranked golfer in the world rankings, he will definitely have something to say once he begins his rounds. 

Johnson, the overall number one golfer in the world golf rankings, has been the most consistent when looking at the past 24 rounds of golf. He actually played well at this course before, in which he landed a course record of a 66. Unfortunately, he had to withdraw from the tournament after testing positive for the coronavirus.

Wolff, the 12th-ranked golfer in the world, is coming off a second-place-tie finish at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. He also came in second at the U.S Open, which shows he can compete with the best. 

Winner of This Event 

Johnson would have been a very appealing case to win this event. Over the last 24 rounds, his strokes gained and approach had been excellent, but he won’t be teeing it up this week. 

Since they are at a different course, Thomas will likely not repeat the success he had in South Korea. But, Thomas is certainly going to be in the running.

With Johnson out, look for Jon Rahm to take the title. He’s been a consistent player for much of the year and will take advantage of the favorite’s absence.

Here are Dunkel’s ratings for this week’s field. Player ratings are based on past performance.

1 D. Johnson 3.408
2 P. Cantlay 2.249
3 J. Rahm 1.943
4 M. Wolff 0.510
5 J. Thomas -0.262
6 T. Finau -1.641
7 S. Im -1.683
8 R. McIlroy -1.695
9 J. Niemann -1.868
10 G. Woodland -2.064
11 X. Schauffele -2.719
12 T. Hatton -2.775
13 A. Ancer -2.940
14 A. Hadwin -3.061
15 B. Harman -3.348
16 S. Munoz -3.418
17 C. Smith -3.428
18 T. Fleetwood -3.805
19 C. Morikawa -4.302
20 C. Connors -4.303
21 D. Berger -4.433
22 M. Kuchar -4.488
23 D. Frittelli -4.503
24 D. Berger -4.586
25 R. Fowler -5.064
26 B. Koepka -5.074
27 M. Fitzpatrick -5.079
28 H. English -5.117
29 J. Day -5.124
30 R. Henley -5.655
31 H. Matsuyama -5.850
32 L. Oosthuizen -5.996
33 T. Hoge -6.002
34 V. Hovland -6.034
35 J. Spieth -6.516
36 S. Garcia -6.556
37 S. Scheffler -6.760
38 K. Na -7.140
39 M. Hughes -7.196
40 B. Todd -7.302
41 I. Poulter -7.587
42 S. Kang -7.784
43 L. Griffin -8.031
44 R. Palmer -8.091
45 SW Kim -8.295
46 C. Champ -8.402
47 J. Dahmen -8.786
48 B. Watson -8.804
49 A. Long -9.011
50 N. Taylor -9.306
51 BH. An -9.310
52 J. Rose -9.367
53 K. Kisner -9.704
54 M. Hubbard -9.723
55 P. Casey -9.781
56 R. Werenski -9.879
57 C. Ortiz -9.884
58 B. Steele -9.911
59 K. Bradley -10.036
60 J. Kokrak -10.479
61 S. Lowry -10.605
62 M. Leishman -10.612
63 D. Lee -10.614
64 T. Duncan -10.716
65 K. Streelman -11.136
66 T. Gooch -11.422
67 H. Higgs -11.460
68 A. Landry -11.571
69 A. Noren -11.733
70 B. Horschel -11.745
71 M. Thompson -12.276
72 J. Herman -13.246
73 KH Lee -14.252
74 J. Kim -18.687